Apparently, Governor Gregoire has given the project a nod, as have local elected officals. But before we get our hopes up, is the project feasible?
One of the first serious obstacles to the project emerges north of Everett, where the existing rail road tracks along Chuckanut Drive can not be expanded. Granted, Mt. Vernon will notice the increased rail transport, But Bellingham and Fairhaven are particularly vulnerable to increased noise, dust, delays and disruptions from increased rail traffic. And, the project is in direct conflict with Washington's commitment to increasing passenger service. In fact, the state is in the process to putting $161 million in new federal grants in place to improve Amtrak service from Seattle to Blaine. The prospect of passenger trains sharing narrow tracks with mile long coal trains is fraught with additional opportunities for conflict.
Why choose Washington? U.S. Coal companies have identified Washington State, thanks to its proximity to coal rich states like Wyoming and Montana, as a good location for building a coal shipping terminal to ship coal to Asia. Wyoming and Montana currently mine about 500 million tons of coal a year. The proposed Cherry Point project has gotten a nod from local elected officials like Mayor Dan Pike and Freshman County Council member Tony Larson. But I'm not sure either elected official has taken a hard look at the factors that adversely affect this proposal.
Last November, Millennium Bulk Terminals LLC, a subsidiary of Australia-based Ambre Energy Ltd., purchased the former ALCOA smelter site in Longview Washington, to build a coal shipping terminal. According to an article in the Wall Street Journal, Millennium plans to spend up to $100 million to construct the coal terminal, which local officials hope will bring over 100 construction jobs and 75 permanent jobs to Longview, a community that registered 12% unemployment in 2010. The Millennium terminal would handle five million tons of coal a year, after construction is completed in 2012.
In 2010, the U.S. Exported about 80 million tons of coal, mostly from the East Coast to the Gulf Coast. Industry analysts project that U.S. exports of coal will grow about 10% this year. Currently, coal is shipped out of a 30 year old faclity located at the Port of Vancouver, in B.C. Most of the U.S. Coal mines have multi-year contracts with Westshore.
David Gambrel, the President of Logisticon, a U.S. coal transportation consulting firm, reminds terminal proponents to take a lesson from the past before moving forward with the permitting and construction of new coal terminals on the West Coast . He reminds shippers and community leaders that two state of the art coal terminals were built on the West Coast during the last two decades. The first at the Port of Portland, was built and failed in the 1980's, with the facility owners “leaving barely used equipment that had to be sold.”
The second terminal, (LAXT) was completed in December of 1997 and closed its doors in 2003. The consortium that funded the project was aware of the Port of Portland's failure, but moved forward with the project, despite the warning signs. The LAXT facility was state of the art, “but it never made enough to pay the rent.” Gambrel said.
Gambrel reminds coal shippers that infrastructure changes that could affect the viability of a coal terminal are taking place world wide:
“massive changes that could adversely affect shipping costs and competition. Do we know about the expansion of the Panama Canal to permit passage of larger vessels, and the expansion of terminal capacities in Australia? What about the Columbia River Channel Deepening Project? What about the breath-taking speed at which Indian ports (i.e., Gangavaram) are being modernized to take larger vessels and more coal?”The proposed SSA Gateway Pacific coal terminal project will have to undergo a rigorous environmental permit process which is likely to trigger an appeal from the Washington State Department of Ecology. A previous Shorelines Permit application for a Gateway Pacific terminal triggered DOE concerns regarding potential:
- Water pollution from stormwater runoff, incidental spills, airborne dust, bilge water discharge, introduction of foreign species, and industrial wastewater;
- Uncertain water supply for additional industrial development that would likely follow the GPT project;
- Adverse impact to fish and wildlife. Cherry Point is home to the state's single largest spawning herring population -- 50% of the resource-- which is critical for salmon and waterfowl;
- Catastrophic spills or major accidents involving ships and barges. Sixty percent of the cargo vessels (1,200 of 2,000) screened by the state's office of Marine Safety in 1995 posed high risk factors due to structural failures and safety incidents;
- Adverse impacts to existing commercial fishing activities; and,
- Limitation of public access and recreational amenities.
It is important for Whatcom County leaders to acknowledge that the Department of Ecology has filed an appeal of the Cowlitz County permit and that a coalition of environmental groups: Columbia Solutions; Columbia Riverkeeper; Sierra Club and Washington Environmental County have filed a lawsuit against Cowlitz County and Millennium Bulk Logistice Inc.
A hearing is scheduled in April for Ecology's challenge to the Millenium permit which may provide Whatcom County with limited insight in regards to what Whatcom County can expect in regards to potential DOE environmental challenges for the SSA project. After all, 50% of the state's herring population spawns in Cherry Point waters.
Certainly, environmental concerns will figure prominently in the decision to permit the project. But the Cherry Point Terminal will create other untold headaches for the community. That is, if it is even feasible to attempt to build the project, considering the logistical limitations and the relentless international competition.
For additional background information on proposed coal terminal facilities in Washington State:
Crosscut: http://crosscut.com/2011/01/07/environment/20522/How-great-corporate-power-shadows-Gregoire-on-caol-shipping
Wall Street Journal: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703399204576108640399166816.html
1997 WA State Dept of Ecology Press Release: http://www.ecy.wa.gov/news/.../97-115.html
It can get very confusing applying the old Arab proverb "The enemy of my enemy is my friend". I'm not sure I can conclude very much from a list of the supporters of this project. Your list of project supporters by the way did not include, but should include, the local Labor Council.
ReplyDeleteRegarding the rail between Seattle and Cherry Point, yes there are serious issues, perhaps not show-stoppers though. A better route might be to come from the Fraser valley down from Sumas on a currently unused track. The physical constraints at Chuckanut, as well as the need to go through many village settings like Edmonds, Mt. Vernon, Fairhaven, and Bellingham, make the approach from the South somewhat problematic. In fact, compared to most rail routes, it's a joke. But would Burlington Northern then lose interest in the project?
Sure makes an inland transportation corridor look good, right?! Well, that was killed many years ago by Whatcom residents who didn't want such a thing in their back yard.
I would suggest keeping an open mind on this project. Any time that there is some way to create wealth for Whatcom County and good income for its residents, not by the usual real-estate-speculation approach of destroying farmland to pave it over, we should pay careful attention to the upside. And it looks like this proposed project is light on the land, posing no threat to Whatcom's rich farmlands or to our county's wonderful environment.
Abe Jacobson
Bellingham
Abe the cost of shipping it in to Canada then back to the us would be cost prohibitive. I used to work for BNSF in the NW Region Dispatch Center and there is really no direct route for on the rails from Wyoming, Montana or other coal producing states. The most direct route would be either over Stevens Pass or Stampede Pass. unless it came through the gorge and up from Vancouver WA. Again that route would be cost prohibitive So the only The preferred route is over Stevens Pass in to Everett then up to Cherry Point and the impact would be little to non. BNSF is already underway in expanding the rail lines to that area because of the Bakken Crude coming out of Western ND Eastern MT.
DeleteHi Abe,
ReplyDeleteThe problem with a blog article is the need for brevity. A more detailed assessment of the international market and the demand for U.S. Coal would provide readers with a deeper understanding of why two other state of the art U.S. Coal Terminals failed over the last two decades.
What worries me, is the attitude in the United States so cleverly captured in the Kevin Costner movie - Field of Dreams. "Build it and they will come." In the real world, that approach has already doomed two Coal Terminals to failure.
The Port of Portland and the LAXT project had all the right amenities, the appropriate infrastructure, but failed nonetheless, because there was not enough of a demand for U.S. coal in Asia for the facilities to pay the rent.
Granted, in a recession, it might be nice to have the construction jobs. But I hope the desire for short term employment doesn't eclipse the real need in this community for permanent family wage jobs.
People may not want to read about the barriers that may prevent this project from being built, but those barriers exist nevertheless.
You may be willing to live with an increase in train traffic through Bellingham, but there will be other residents in Fairhaven and along the Bellingham Waterfront who will not be pleased with the increased noise. Especially if those trains are running at night.
Those people in the county haven't changed their minds about a rail corridor being placed through their land. And, if U.S. shippers have to ship coal through Canada to get to a U.S. market, they may find that it's cheaper to ship the coal out of Vancouver B.C.
In the business world, it's all about cost and convenience.
You have to realize that shipping from Long Beach is a lot further than it is from the Northwest so there is a cost issue there. From Portland Vancouver the river restricts the size of the ships. The Cherry Point area has the depth of water for larger ships and the ease of access to the Western Pacific countries that no other point on the west coast has.
DeleteThis is indeed a complicated issue and one that the community needs to examine very, very closely. I am less concerned about its fiscal viability because the risk takers are all well-healed international players. What concerns me is the impact on the community in terms of coal dust and train traffic impacts that include lowered housing prices, isolation of shoreline businesses, increased cancer rates and mercury levels, and the ability of those impacts to derail (sorry) the waterfront redevelopment project which will provide more jobs over a longer period of time and allows for local investment. I suspect that we cannot have both.
ReplyDeleteWhat I don't really understand is why the US would simultaneously promote renewable resource development domestically, much of which is directed towards electricity and thus really coal and gas alternatives (rather than oil) and simultaneously consider a new coal export terminal to send the country's worst coal (in heat content) 5,000 miles to China's east coast, so they can keep their addicition to GDP growth and coal running? I mean, it doesn't get any more blatant in terms of an environmental SNAFU to put low-energy density coal from Wyoming on a train, ship it 800 miles+ in the US and then all the way to China so that they can try to keep their lower-cost polluting power going and keep grabbing more global market share of industrial production. China now consumes over 3B tons of coal annually and has a GDP of 8T, vs the US that consumes 1B tons annually and a GDP of 15T. China's coal/energy inefficiency is legendary and they are now the primary emitters of carbon, despite a relatively small GDP.
ReplyDeleteDoes everyone realize, if we keep the coal and gas cheap in the US (eg, deny ports, or tax the exports of energy commodities to raise the price at the port and thus lower external demand or raise prices for our competitors), we bring manufacturing and specialty chemical jobs back to the US? For the locals in Washington that just went back to work at the Alcoa smelters that are recently being re-started--largely due to competitively priced electricity, relative to Asia--is there not any hypocrisy that sending coal prices out the door next door will lead to higher domestic coal and thus power prices by tightening coal demand and might just cause those plants to shut?!
Oh, and as a point of fact, China has recently banned met coal exports and taxes thermal coal to encourage domestic consumption (jobs again). This is legal within the WTO.
We would be fools to line the pockets of a few coal companies to sop up the modest 4-5% coal oversupply in the US that keeps us mildly competitive in the one area we have going for us, cheap power. Restrict exports and encourage building new factories in the US (preferably in Washington state!).
Can someone explain to me who profits and how much?
ReplyDelete48 M metric tons/year of PRB coal * $13/ton = $624 M per year
48 M metric tons/year of PRB coal * $117/ton =$5.6 B per year
Top is the spot price for PRB coal now. The other is Chinese thermal coal arbitrage price now. There is $5 B difference between the two...
what can we do about this? The issue is piercingly concerning. I recently was informed about it at the 'yes' conference for my schools green club. This blows. why do rich people want to destroy everything.
ReplyDeleteIf we are to use coal, why not use it domestically? Please check out www.calera.com, a company that is developing a carbon-friendly way to use fossil fuel.
ReplyDeletePike supports it so NO public hearings are needed. Move along. Nothing to see here.
ReplyDeleteI am in full support of this project. I used to work for BNSF and far as shipping coal goes It is a very safe process. When coal is shipped by rail it is required to be coated to keep the dust down during transport so it meets EPA requirements. Shipping Coal has little to no impact on the environment. Having it on the rails is a very safe means of transport.
ReplyDeleteAs far as the affect on the ecology of cherry point. The petroleum industry does far more damage to the environment than coal would. The problem I have with coal is when it is burned and it's gasses are released in to the atmosphere.
As far as using Cherry Point for a transfer point to be loaded on to ships will have less impact than the Oil Industry. if you did not know it already but hundreds of thousands of barrels of crude oil from ND, CO, and WY already come in to Cherry Point and Anacortes daily. They are the ones you should be attacking not the coal industry